Does an Aquino loss automatically mean there was massive cheating?
Filipinos Should Protect the Ballot – Against Noynoy Aquino
Do you really believe that just because Noynoy lost, he was cheated? Survey are snapshots of a general frame of mind during a certain period in time. Just because there is a preference for one candidate does not mean that the preference will be sustained until election day. Many things can still happen – the ball is round, it ain’t over till the last vote is counted.
The oligarch-owned broadcast media of ABS-CBN is once again undertaking another psyops. It is currently conditioning the people’s minds to the presumptuous belief that the only way for Noynoy Aquino to lose this election is for Noynoy to be cheated.
Psychological operations (frequently abbreviated PSYOP) is a long-standing term of military art designating the employment of certain dedicated communications assets … in support of combat operations. However, the term is sometimes also used in a broader and less technical sense to refer to a range of psychological warfare activities conducted by civilian as well as military organizations.
PSYOP “consists of political, military, and ideological actions conducted to create in target groups behavior, emotions, and attitudes that support the attainment of national objectives. …. PSYOP can be used to demoralize, disorient, and confuse hostile groups. … It can also be used to unite, inform, and bolster the morale of nonhostile groups. When targeting neutral or friendly groups, it is used to support military objectives by developing cooperative attitudes and behavior in the target group.”
PSYOP is essentially another name for aggressive public relations propaganda:“psychological-political operations need not be undertaken only in a context of military conflict.”
Since we are now treading on the edges of the Twilight Zone, I raise the ante – what if the results turned out to be a massive vote for Sen. Richard Gordon? Sure thing, you can say I am hallucinating, delusional – but, the question remains – what if Gordon wins?
Does this mean Richard Gordon cheated Noynoy Aquino of victory? Will Noynoy’s supporters flock to the streets and attempt to install Noynoy via a populist putsch? Quite preposterous and assuming of Noynoy Aquino, and his supporters – shame on all of you!
Oligarch Media and Its Efforts to Derail the Elections
ABS-CBN recently released a floater –
|MANILA, Philippines—The security of the first nationwide automated elections in May is in the hands of Philippine Military Academy (PMA) “Makatarungan” Class of 1978, the batch that adopted President Arroyo as honorary member.
The Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP), from the top, is packed with President Arroyo’s “mistahs.”
At the Philippine National Police (PNP), Class ’78 has yet to clinch the topmost positions, but abs-cbnNews.com/Newsbreak shows they are well-placed on the ground, especially in vote-rich regional commands.
Class ’78 has total or partial control of the 17 Joint Security Control Centers (JSCCs)—1 per region—organized by Task Force Hope, which is composed of officers from the AFP and the PNP tasked to secure candidates and polling centers in May.
Essentially, it is accusing the very people tasked to secure the ballot as the people who will violate the ballot. I find ABS-CBN’s behavior very disturbing? Who the f*ck does ABS-CBN think it is to be able to prejudge the outcome of the voting? Instead of muddling the electoral process – ABS-CBN needs to step-up and help ensure that the elections go on smoothly and peacefully. ABS-CBN should provide free airtime to educate voters on how to use the voting machines and what to do on election day, instead of stoking demagoguery.
If you have neighbors, relatives who work in ABS-CBN tell them straight in the face to tell ABS-CBN top brass to step up to the plate and ensure a smooth, peaceful, fast, and very credible elections INSTEAD OF DERAILING THE ELECTIONS. – Bwakang *na nyo, kung di kayo makakatulong, wag kayong maging pasaway! Wag nyong gawing WOWOWEE ang Eleksyon mga bwiset! If ABS-CBN can keep on repeating those useless emo BARFable Cory Aquino snippets during Holy Week, why can’t it repeat material that actually does something and instructs people so that the election takes place. Is it because ABS-CBN only wants the elections to take place if Noynoy Aquino wins – and not if it is Gordon or someone else? Di naman tama yan.
Now, for discussion sake, let’s say Class ’78 has the capability to undertake fraud. Are the other classes of the PMA retards an totally inutile to counter the actions of one class. Is ABS-CBN telling us that Class ’78 is almighty – and all the other classes are retards? Wow naman, hindi lahat ng Pinoy nanood ng Wowowee ha. Ito talagang ABS-CBN, Pasaway!!!😆
A Hypothetical Question: What if a Reverse Bradley Effect were to take place in the 2010 Philippine Presidential Elections?
Consider this recent Inquirer article:
By Edson C. Tandoc Jr.
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 23:17:00 04/26/2010
Filed Under: Eleksyon 2010, Politics, Inquirer Politics, Elections, Richard Gordon, Media, Opinion surveys
MANILA, Philippines — Four days after suing survey firms for damages, presidential candidate Richard Gordon said the media should just “ignore” election survey results.
Sought for comment on Monday on a new survey showing rival Sen. Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III leading the race by a wide margin, consistent fifth-placer Gordon said: “The media should ignore these survey results.”
Last week, Gordon sued survey firms Social Weather Stations (SWS) and Pulse Asia for their “misleading surveys” and asked the Quezon City regional trial court for a temporary restraining order.
Gordon said the publication of survey results had jeopardized his presidential campaign.
He said: “People are telling me: ‘We want to vote for you, but the surveys say you’re not gonna win.”
Gordon said the publication of surveys was not part of “public service” as election surveys were “not valid and have no basis.”
He said: “I wish the media will be smarter than that (publishing survey results).”
Gordon barnstormed Cavite on Monday. In earlier speeches, he said that if people believed survey results, then elections should no longer be held and the country should just believe the survey results to save money.
His running mate Bayani Fernando expressed support for Gordon’s suit against pollsters.
In a phone call to the Philippine Daily Inquirer, Fernando said he no longer believed in surveys. He said his percentage of votes stopped increasing after he stopped subscribing to the survey results.
Fernando said: “The moment I stopped paying for the surveys, my ranking no longer improved. Before, when I was still subscribing, my points were increasing.”
Fernando went around Valenzuela City on Monday.
For all of MSM media’s “expertise”, how come it has not raised the possibility of the Bradley effect? After all, if people were about to choose Gordon except that the “surveys” showed he wasn’t going to win – there is a big possibility that people can follow their conscience at the last moment.
To me, massive electoral fraud by Gloria is out of the question, is a recipe for disaster to Gloria – a bogeyman. It does not make sense for Arroyo to rock the boat at this point. The calculus does not work in her favor, given that all eyes are focused on Gloria Arroyo. There is another aspect to this fixation on Gloria, too – it provides a convenient decoy, distraction, diversion from the flaws of the oligarch-backed candidate – Noynoy Aquino. The hard sell attempt to market Noynoy as being a good product simply because he is “against” Gloria is blatantly ridiculous to the more informed. A good product does not necessarily go against Gloria, it is a product that has good policies (including those adopted by Gloria and Gloria’s opponents – that generate good results). Note the inclusiveness of the superior product. It builds on core advantages while laying the groundwork for more core and competitive advantages.
Now picture this – In polls leading up to the election, Noynoy has a clear lead, and numerous media outlets boldly project that he will win the election. On election night, however, he loses to Gordon or Villar or Estrada – anyone but Noynoy, much to the puzzlement of the Liberal party and many Noynoyistas.
|What is the Bradley Effect?
The Bradley Effect is a phenomenon characterized by the tendency of non-white political candidates to perform better in opinion polls than they do in actual elections when they are running against white candidates. Most specifically, the Bradley Effect often strikes black politicians, although it can just as easily affect Hispanics and other minorities. This interesting phenomenon has been a topic of intense study by pollsters, political analysts, and others, and there are several theories used to explain the Bradley Effect, which is sometimes also known as the Wilder Effect.
The concept is named for Tom Bradley, an African-American man who ran for the office of Governor of California in 1982. In polls leading up to the election, Bradley had a clear lead, and numerous media outlets boldly projected that he would win the election. On election night, however, he lost to the Republican candidate, much to the puzzlement of the Democratic party and many Californians. The same thing happened in Virginia in 1989 in another gubernatorial race, and numerous other instances of the Bradley Effect have been documented at various points in American history.
One of the primary explanations for the Bradley Effect is racial. Pollsters have suggested that voters may not want to admit to planning to vote against a black candidate, because they fear being perceived as racist, especially when the pollster is black. Polling organizations have also suggested that the Bradley Effect could be caused by undecided voters, many of whom lean in a conservative direction on election night.
The Bradley Effect appears to be diminishing in American society, for a variety of reasons, but it is still a present and interesting issue. Researchers are curious to learn about the mechanics of the Bradley Effect in the hopes of learning more about American politics and cultural beliefs. The rise of minority candidates in the United States will undoubtedly, and somewhat regrettably, provide more instances of the Bradley Effect, as Hispanics, Asians, and other minorities attempt to break into American politics on the state and national level.
In 2008, an interesting reversal of the Bradley Effect occurred in Iowa, when black Democratic Presidential candidate Barack Obama fared better than expected against the white candidate, Hillary Rodham Clinton, in the caucuses of that state. Some political pundits suggested that because caucuses are public, some voters might have felt pressured into supporting Obama out of a desire to appear liberal and open-minded in front of their neighbors.
Substitute “skin color” for pedigree, white for haciendero (Noynoy) and black for non-haciendero (Gordon).
Does that mean there automatically was cheating if Noynoy loses? NOT with the Bradley effect in play.
That is a very dangerous, presumptuous, and arrogant assumption to make. Given that the survey shows a lot of people not voting for Noynoy – who are the Noynoyistas to predict that people’s minds can change at the last moment – tinamaan ng konsensya.
The Gordon campaign team has to hit harder on two fronts which have been just opened to it. It needs to drive the message – voting is a personal choice (soft sell); vote based on ability, track record, vision, and integrity – don’t settle for just one trait if you can have more (hard sell).
As for I, me, myself – I’ll settle for an upgrade of a classic Filipino truism – ang naniniwala sa survey-survey walang bait sa sarili.😆