Walang Pagsisisi sa Simula – The First Three Weeks
This post continues after the first episode that came out a week after May 10, 2010. It will now be nearly three weeks after Pres Noynoy Aquino formally took office. Prior to that it is presumed that a transition plan was being executed. At the rate things are turning out – it seems that there wasn’t even one from the start.
Thus far, we have had a very amusing week starting off with the:
1. Rumor of Boy Abunda as DOT Secretary.😯
2. Binay’s eager-beaver to be DILG Secretary.
3. Roxas filing electoral fraud protest against Binay (numbers for Roxas were skewed but not for Binay – quite interesting turnout for SWS – correct on Aquino, wrong on Roxas).🙄 –
(Manila Standard) As pointed out by the supporters of Roxas, the SWS survey which showed Binay tied up with their vice presidential candidate was conducted before Roxas obtained the backing of Pastor Apollo Quiboloy’s Kingdom of Jesus Christ which claims to have a six million strong membership. More importantly, he also got the endorsement of the influential Iglesia ni Cristo religious sect whose members have proven to vote as a bloc and could easily bring in three to four million votes for the national candidate their support. – SO NO – The SWS survey is kinda questionable.
The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in a survey’s results. The larger the margin of error, the less faith one should have that the poll’s reported results are close to the “true” figures; that is, the figures for the whole population.
Statistical tie” and “statistical dead heat” are sometimes used to describe reported percentages that differ by less than a margin of error, but these terms can be misleading
– Braiker, Brian. “The Race is On: With voters widely viewing Kerry as the debate’s winner, Bush’s lead in the NEWSWEEK poll has evaporated”. MSNBC, October 2, 2004. Retrieved on 2 February 2007.
– Rogosa, D.R. (2005). A school accountability case study: California API awards and the Orange County Register margin of error folly. In R.P. Phelps (Ed.), Defending standardized testing (pp. 205–226). Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
For one thing, the margin of error as generally calculated is applicable to an individual percentage and not the difference between percentages, so the difference between two percentage estimates may not be statistically significant even when they differ by more than the reported margin of error. The survey results also often provide strong information even when there is not a statistically significant difference.
When comparing percentages, it can accordingly be useful to consider the probability that one percentage is higher than another
– Drum, Kevin. Political Animal, Washington Monthly, August 19, 2004. Retrieved on 15 February 2007.
In simple situations, this probability can be derived with 1) the standard error calculation introduced earlier, 2) the formula for the variance of the difference of two random variables, and 3) an assumption that if anyone does not choose Binay they will choose Roxas, and vice versa; they are perfectly negatively correlated. This may not be a tenable assumption when there are more than two possible poll responses. For more complex survey designs, different formulas for calculating the standard error of difference must be used.
“faster than anyone could say “President-elect Benigno Simeon Cojuangco Aquino III”, numerous Noynoy-Mar supporters from the burgis class and Liberal Party supporters were shell-shocked to see Makati Mayor and VP-candidate Jejomar Binay consistently dominate the polls over Mar Roxas.
While these same people were primed to think that Mar Roxas originally had a strong showing in the surveys, it now seems like what everyone refers to as the “Noy-Bi” campaign was a scheme cooked up from the very beginning by no less than Noynoy Aquino’s own close relatives who were outside of the Liberal Party’s command-structure.” 😈
4. Wangwang-we and Habitual Tardiness.❗ Lacierda late on first day – not really a good way to start work. Noynoy late due to non-use of sirens – can’t distinguish between necessity and luxury. Makes you wonder what else is he capable of not distinguishing?
5. Botched memo. Firing employees on day one – without preparing for the sudden cessation of public services due to such termination. Memo was revoked and re-issued. Make up your mind, assuming you have one.🙄
6. Appointing a religious person into a secular position – apparently the memo on church and state separation will come out in 2017 – just like distribution of Hacienda Luisita to farmers.😕
7. Brother Armin Altamirano Luistro FSC, Padre Damaso act with the media.😕
8. Media training for Aquino’s team. Trained in what exactly? – to sound more like Arroyo. Yup Noynoy is all about change – he is changing into another Arroyo – ArroQuino.😈
9. On the upside CHR Chair De Lima (Great choice of CHR by Arroyo by the way!!!!) was appointed DOJ Secretary. The downside – More activists are dead in less than 3 weeks – and we thought Arroyo was bad – and all Arroyo appointees are “bad” and “evil”😳
10. Basyang leaves 23 dead, 77 missing and all Aquino can do is blame PAGASA. Maybe if you and your fellow Pork Barrel reciepients bothered to use your pork barrel on pag-asa – you can have saved lives. But no – you just have to have the pork barrel – oink.👿
11. Had a pentecostal revival/variety show – a “Presidential inaugural” (an oxymoron in this case) with sesame street big bird mascots.
12. On the upside – Maynilad reduced the water rate. The downside – rates were reduced not because of improved efficiency but because of the P0.19 per cubic meter decrease in its foreign currency differential adjustment (FCDA) resulting from the strong performance of the peso.😳
13. Meralco rates up again – Power firm blames IPPs for increase. It’s the usual blaming gain – but no real solutions. What foreign investor in his right mind will invest in Philippine utilities if he cannot own more than 40% of the equity – are you out of your freaking mind? Not more than 40% – Operation and management of public utilities (Art. XII, Sec. 11 of the Constitution; Sec. 16 of C.A. 146)
Thank the 1987 Aquino Constitution – Meralco can keep on blaming the IPPs.
Here’s a mind experiment. Based on the Constitution – IPP – Foreign is only 40%, 60% is Filipino. For the foreign counterpart to make a profit on its 40% the rates have to be increased to reach their desired revenue goals. In the process of increasing the 40% – the 60% also increases – and the cost is passed on to the consumer.
All this talk of privatization – but with the same inefficient Filipino companies cornering the deal – will WORSEN the cost of electricity. This will become really dire under a peak oil scenario in 2015. Foreigner investors should be allowed to have shares higher than 40% – up to 55%. We need to have the option of regulating the flow of FDI through legislation NOT as a permanent fixture in the Constitution.
of course, the issue of national security can be raised – seriously, the way our current Filipino electric utilities are producing electricity – IS A THREAT TO NATIONAL SECURITY – THERE’S NO ELECTRICITY GARDEMMIT.👿
14. Given this state of affairs, people are saying give him some slack. Hello – the job starts on Day 1, not Day 100. You asked for the job, get to work, stop the moronic excuses.❗
15. Aquino hires a media team – and starts spouting – “I am not Superman”. You ought to have said that during the campaign – you gave gullible people that impression – you broke it, you own it. Managing expectations starts during the campaign not when you have won because you come off as a bogus and a fraud – a switik!
16. Noynoy needs to be reminded about doubtful statistics and the deficit. A change from PhP 290B to PhP 325B is an 11% increase in the deficit! How can you reign in deficit with an 11% increase in the budget? Purisima further declares “a percentage of GDP, the deficit was expected to be 3.9 percent, level with 2009″, the GDP in 2009 was actually 3.5% of GDP – if Purisima says 2010′s 3.9% of GDP is level with 2009′s 3.5% of GDP – am I missing something or what, please educate me, I will thank you.
17. During the campaign Aquino promised “From government policies influenced by well-connected private interests? to a leadership that executes all the laws of the land with impartiality and decisiveness”. Turns out – to an Aquino government whose cabinet comes from well-connected corporate interests. 8O Susmaryosep – kung pinocchio ang mga ito – ang hahaba ng ng mga ilong!!😆
Actions Taken 07/01/2010: “Romulo’s appointment seems to be based on his support for Aquino during the campaign. His track record however shows he did not uphold national interests while in the DFA,” he added. Reyes is also concerned with the appointments of Finance Secretary Cesar Purisima, a proponent of the expanded value-added tax law in 2005 and was listed a big contributor to the Aquino campaign; Tourism Secretary Alberto Lim who is with the Makati Business Club; Energy Secretary Jose Rene Almendras, a former president of the Ayala-owned Manila Water; and Transportation and Communication secretary Jose “Ping” de Jesus, former president and chief operating officer of electricity distributor Meralco. “As with the Aquino election campaign, the Aquino cabinet has many ties to big business. Let us see how these ties will weigh in on the decisions of the next administration,” Reyes said.😯
18. Of course, who can not fail notice Kris Aquino and the dysfunctional state of the Philippines family law – opting for the moronic Catholic-inspired annullment instead of divorce. There are only two countries (excl the Vatican) which don’t have divorce -Malta and the Philippines – believe you me, I am not surprised – it’s the effin Philippines what else is new.🙄
19. A toothless tiger (more of a white elephant actually) called the Truth Commission is being proposed.
“It is unnecessary for them to form such commission because it will only lengthen the proceedings. This has nothing to do with the credibility of Davide but more a practical aspect. If we want to put closure to the issues, then file it with the Department of Justice and the Ombudsman. We have these government agencies already. Lalo pa siguro lalabo ang kwento kung meron pang truth commission,” former Senator Aquilino Pimentel Jr. told reporters at the weekly Balitaan sa Rembrandt Hotel in Quezon City. I may not agree with Pimentel’s politics of opportunism but I do agree with his legal mind.
Then sensing that their cases have questionable evidence on Arroyo – they resort to maligning Gutierrez, the Ombudsman. What kind of government is this? It cannot even follow its own laws, that it itself created. If Aquino’s team has a problem with Gutierrez, impeach her under the rules laid down by the Constitution – which Noynoy’s mom had crafted.
If you want the rule of law to reassert itself – follow it – the process might be tough – but its the law! When we resort to this mob machinations, we go on a slippery slope – unbecoming of a country that aspires to be a first country by 2020, never mind that its former classmates South Korea , Singapore, Indonesia, and Malaysia are already knocking on the door of first world status at the beginning of the millenium.
Don’t govern the Philippines like a hacendero. This ain’t Tarlac anymore, Dorothy.
20. Then there’s that wellspring of corruption – the pork barrel. Noynoy isn’t giving up the pork barrel – he’s just having it managed by PMS.
This past three weeks really doesn’t give one the sense that Aquino knows what he is doing. I said it BEFORE the election – and I’ll say it again now.
Dig In – it’s going to be a long six years. You got what you voted for – put up with it.
I didn’t vote for Aquino – am not putting up with his crap – didn’t put up with it before he got elected, and now – there’s more BS – I should put up with it because he’s the President? WTF?
Compromise – when competence is compromised with stupidity we get a Tarlacized version of the Philippines. We had the chance to have a Subic-ized version – and blew it.
Six years of schaudenfreude – PRICELESS!😈
Having said that – what can we do?
Only one thing – save ourselves – if the Aquino government wants to implode let it.
Don’t let that take the focus out of your path to personal success. With more reason you should be focused on your personal affairs because the Philippine government is a useless piece of appendage – more so now that an oligarch kid is in power and is enamored with his toys – see, he can fire people or just make them resign like General Bangit.
You can compete in the global market – after all there’s more to outsourcing than meets the eye and of course, you can break the myth of “Filipinos can’t compete” – whether you are in the Philippines or abroad – despite of the Philippine government. But be forewarned so you are forearmed with the landmines that the oligarch has planted – regulations that skew the constitution in its favor.
Be the ubermann – break from the Filipino herd.
WHACK THE ANTI-PINOY (if you know, who really is the anti-pinoy) !