What has the Uncertainty Principle got to do with Philippines?
I’ll cut to the chase and keep it VERY simple – either the Philippines shapes up – or the uncertainty of its future is very certain – and no slogan on the planet will save Filipinos from the consequences of their delusions.
Given a universe of countries in Oceania and Asia – an application of the uncertainty principle tells you that “The theoretical momentum distribution derived from the quantum state is supposed to coincide with the hypothetical distribution of outcomes obtained in an infinite series of repetitions of the momentum measurement ” – The graphs in the following section capture a distribution of outcomes in a time series.
A snapshot of the behavior of the various economic particles in the Asia/Oceania universe was captured in 2010. There snapshots of prior periods – like 2008 and 2009. And there will be future snapshots in 2011, 2012 so on and so forth.
What is the probability that the Philippines will wind up in a different position in the Asia/Oceania universe if it keeps on with its current practices in governance, economics, ethics, culture, education, health, infrastructure?
The Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
It has been decades since I last sat in my Physics class – blame it on my natural sciences degree in Biology and coursework in Electrical Engineering and grad school – and the battery of statistics courses that go with it.
As pointed out in http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/qt-uncertainty/
In quantum mechanics a system is supposed to be described by its quantum state, also called its state vector.
Given the state vector, one can derive probability distributions for all the physical quantities pertaining to the system such as its position, momentum, angular momentum, energy, etc.
The operational meaning of these probability distributions is that they correspond to the distribution of the values obtained for these quantities in a long series of repetitions of the measurement. More precisely, one imagines a great number of copies of the system under consideration, all prepared in the same way.
On each copy the momentum, say, is measured. Generally, the outcomes of these measurements differ and a distribution of outcomes is obtained.
The theoretical momentum distribution derived from the quantum state is supposed to coincide with the hypothetical distribution of outcomes obtained in an infinite series of repetitions of the momentum measurement. The same holds, mutatis mutandis, for all the other physical quantities pertaining to the system. Note that no simultaneous measurements of two or more quantities are required in defining the operational meaning of the probability distributions.
Metaphors – Application of the Heisenberg Principle to the Competitiveness Index
Here’s the framework:
- Universe = Asia/Oceania particles
- Nations/economies = particles/quanta
- Series of Repetitions = Time Series
- Instant of Momentum = Year 2009
- Particle’s Physical Quantities = KPIs/Index (in this case Competitiveness Index)
Each of the following snapshots of these “particles” tell a story – infinite variations within a band in the distribution curve.
Snapshots of Quantum Particles in the Asia/Oceania Universe
How will investors invest if they don’t feel protected from undue influence? Like you know – being forced to go into 60/40 joint ventures – as mandated by the 1987 Philippine Constitution – Article 12.
The only way to get things done in the Philippines is irregular payments and bribes – from the President down to a janitor in a remote LGU from Aparri to Jolo?
Lack of competition, lesser choices, lesser infrastructure availability – translates to big bucks for the oligarchs AND higher prices for consumers (NLEX, SLEX fees, Meralco, PLDT, FPIC, Globe Bayantel, VECO, DLPC, MWSS). Kay ganda ng alin? Ng 60/40 provisions that FORCE foreign investors to go into joint ventures INSTEAD of competing against the LOUSY LOCAL oligarchs.
Roads roads roads… diversion of public funds – being “public servant” is lucrative business in the Philippines. Do you have any idea how many developers are in cahoots with the Congressmen and Senators? For example, Malita in Davao del Sur – just ask around who owns the companies that build roads in Malita – and how these companies are related to the mayor and congressman. Heck you’ll find the same thing in anywhere in the Philippines.
Lots of probes in the Philippines – but no conviction – just “cleared” – remember the WB collusion report? Mabilis pa sa alas kwatro inabswelto ang mga lintyak. 🙂
The World Bank has applied sanctions in many countries in response to findings of corrupt behavior, and so far more than 340 firms have been blacklisted from doing business with Bank-financed projects. Their names are published on the World Bank’s website: –
[iframe: src=” http://web.worldbank.org/external/default/main?theSitePK=84266&contentMDK=64069844&menuPK=116730&pagePK=64148989&piPK=64148984″ frameborder=”1″ width=”100%” height=”200″ scrolling=”yes”]
[iframe: src=”http://www.infozine.com/news/stories/op/storiesView/sid/33191/” frameborder=”1″ width=”100%” height=”200″ scrolling=”yes”]
Here’s the Philippine response –
[iframe: src=”http://www.bicusa.org/en/Article.11040.aspx” width=”100%” height=”200″ scrolling=”yes”]
[iframe: src=”http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/inquirerheadlines/nation/view/20090204-187300/Collusion-part-of-doing-business” width=”100%” height=”200″ scrolling=”yes”]
Health and Education
Universal health care? Public education? Dream on Philippines – HOY GISING!!! 🙂
Peace and Order, Ethics, Dispute Settlement
What if the law enforcers by day are also the law breakers by night? What was the complaint filed against Mendoza? What was the complaint of Mendoza against the Ombudsman? How Aquino’s BFF USec Puno and jueteng?
In plain and simple language – the fastest way to settle disputes in the Philippines is through irregular payments and bribes. The world is watching – who are we fooling? We have lots of Filipinos who behave with impunity – Ampatuan, cocaine bearing Congressmen, jueteng – name it we got it.
Talk about being in the bottom of the barrel when it comes to regulation and ethics and corruption – WOW PHILIPPINES!!! 🙂
Uncertainty relations can be considered as statements about the spreads of the probability distributions of the several physical quantities arising from the same state. 😉
Given a protectionist economy/particle with an inefficient governance framework –
Where do you think will it wind up in a probability distribution that measures prosperity? Will you predict that it will be on top of the heap? Or will we just say it is unpredictable? Or are we willing to man up line and make a prediction 🙂
Given the state vector, one can derive probability distributions for all the physical quantities pertaining to the system such as its position, momentum, angular momentum, energy, etc. The operational meaning of these probability distributions is that they correspond to the distribution of the values obtained for these quantities in a long series of repetitions of the measurement. – In the previous graphs – the physical quantities pertaining to the various “particles/quanta” (aka individual economies/countries/nations) are the KPIs – and based on these KPIs, the outcome of where the individual economy will be in a probability distribution is quite predictable.
Connect the dots – it’s VERY simple 🙂
– Either the Philippines shapes up – or the uncertainty of its future is very certain.
I was asked whether “Wow Philippines” or “Pilipinas Kay Ganda” is better. My answer is – none of the above.
Let’s get our shit together first – walk before you run, Philippines.
Start with the low hanging fruit.